We Are All Gonna Die

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I hope you listened to Joe.  Not just the first part, then got bored and disgusted and turned on Fox News.  I hope you listened all the way to the end and heard the hopeful things he says there.  He is a very good video essayist who uses real science to reason with you about questions that are really about life and death.  One way we may be going to die as a species is through climate change and global warming.  The dire predictions we get from climate scientists, whom nobody seems to take seriously, are becoming increasingly alarming.  If we are too stuck in our own little kingdoms and don’t look the castle windows at the weather outside, we are not only going to have our parades rained on, it will be acid rain, and the parade marchers will get boiled on the hoof as they march.

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Those of us who put too much faith in the Trump Train, burning its beautiful clean coal, are going down to the bottom when we get to the canyon bridge and the train roars off the tracks.  Just ask Paul Manafort after his trial ends, or Jeff Sessions after Trump fires him to make racist sausages out of him to serve at an I-Love-Putin Picnic, what the ride has been like on the Trump Tongue Express.

But, of course, the Pumpkinhead in Chief is not the only reason we have no money and no jobs and are going to be roasted to death in a polluted world.  There is also the little matter of Trillions of Dollars in Debt that was racked up to make the rich richer and people like me foot the bill.

I know you may be suspicious of an interview conducted on RT which is an arm of Russian propaganda in the USA.  But I should point out, if you like Trump, you like Russia already, and both of these journalists, Chris Hedges and David Cay Johnston, are not afraid to tell the unvarnished truth.  That means the mainstream media is uncomfortable about putting them on the air, and those who want to stir up trouble find it easiest to do that by simply allowing access to researched facts and basic truths we are reluctant to hear.

If you don’t believe in the predictions offered by science, it is bound to be because of one of two different things.  Either you see the science and follow how the results of computer models become overwhelmingly dire, disgusting you with a total lack of optimistic outcomes, or you reject science in favor of the oil companies’ rose-colored fairy-tale outlooks where unicorns will consume CO2 clouds and fart out benevolent rainbows.  From where I stand now, broke and old and ill, it doesn’t matter much to me.  In the short time frames we are looking at for global-warming Armageddon, I will undoubtedly reach the end of my natural life.  I probably won’t be around for the horrific-suffering part of how this all is going to end.

I know if you haven’t turned away from this heat-death-of-the-planet idea already, you are probably pretty depressed by this point in the essay.  I know I am.  It does not bode well for my children and any future grandchildren.  But I will leave you with the reminder that we are human beings.  And human beings are complex and able to solve large complex problems.  We put men on the moon.  (Or we did the even harder job of faking it and not letting the secret be discovered for fifty years, complete with space-travel debris on the moon that you can take photographs of from earth with a really good telescope.)  So, just maybe this massive terrifyingly horrible problem can yet be solved in the nick of time.  I do believe in the good that can be found in mankind.  But I also see the corruption and evil.  So hopefully Mark Twain’s final hope for mankind, that this time when God drowns us, there will be no Ark, will be thwarted.  Believe me, I have no wish to die a horrible death.  But I am a pessimist after all.

9 Comments

Filed under angry rant, battling depression, commentary, feeling sorry for myself, horror writing, Liberal ideas, pessimism

9 responses to “We Are All Gonna Die

  1. Statistical models can tell us of possibilities. They don’t predict anything. Proponents who jump up and down about what a model says are neither rational nor scientific. The more extreme a model is the more attention it gets. You rarely hear of models that don’t predict TEOTWAWKI (That’s survival speak for “the end of the world as we know it”.) – and there are plenty of them. They just get no press coverage.

    But extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof and a model is not a “proof” of anything. With slight tweaking of how to weight the variables, making different assumptions about coupling and feedback loops, and by the amount of accuracy you ascribe to your data, you can get radically different results.

    I once was active in the community on issues of infrastructure development and roads. Everyone had a model designed by honest, independent professionals of how infrastructure actually worked. Amazingly the models always supported whatever a particular interest group wanted to accomplish. The differences were tiny adjustments to how variables were weighted. Even rounding data up vs. down at the limit of significance made huge differences. Welcome to Chaos Theory coupled with observer bias.

    If you ask the real professionals who work on climate issues every day, like NOAA, they will tell you something is happening to raise global temperatures and that is likely in part due to anthropogenic causes. Press them for details and they will give generalities and probabilities for many different eventualities. That is how a REAL model works.

    • And Joe is quite right. Scientists, in general, will agree that there is significant global warming and the largest part of that is that is caused by humans. You will not find a consensus of scientists predicting the extinction of humans from it and nothing Joe said implies that.

      • Yes, I know that now. I let McPherson get me all negative when I was depressed and ready to believe the worst. But writing today’s essay about hope from science was part of the coping I need to do to pull myself out of the darkness. I got a great deal of comfort from these Joe’s videos. I am diabetic and subject to bouts of low-blood sugar depression which I am forced to deal with without medication. But I am still pessimistic in nature, even though I take some of the contradictions to my doom and gloom as pleasant surprises.

    • I must confess, when I read this, I thought you were commenting on today’s post, Hope Comes From Science. The piece you are commenting on from August was also written when I was depressed and looking very negatively at the data, seeing it all blackly because of the depression.

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